Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

RAN

RAN, member RAS oncogene family

translation score 0.34, read 2026-10-30; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
5 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.84
literature
PubMed
82 Parkinson's papers of 19,2510.42
pathways
Reactome
8 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 15061

Sealed predictions

  1. RAN in dopamine neurons, braak+0.43 (p 0.243) → -0.21 (p 0.581)receipt 15068

Swarm cases

receipt 15068: RAN in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.11 (p 0.664, n 18), 95% CI -0.38 to +0.55. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.11 (p 0.677, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.25 (p 0.310, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.01 to +0.24, sign flips 2; without severely affected donors +0.11 (p 0.664, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RAN in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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