Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

RAF1

Raf-1 proto-oncogene, serine/threonine kinase

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: belvarafenib, ly-3009120, xl-281 +61.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
8 Parkinson's papers of 4,1440.71
pathways
Reactome
17 pathways; mostly growth signalling0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6260

Sealed predictions

  1. RAF1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.30 (p 0.428) → +0.69 (p 0.041)receipt 6268

Swarm cases

receipt 6268: RAF1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.35 (p 0.159, n 18), 95% CI -0.14 to +0.70. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.41 (p 0.087, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.35 (p 0.156, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.26 to +0.46, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.35 (p 0.159, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for RAF1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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