Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

PTH

parathyroid hormone

translation score 0.34, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.34 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced outside the brain (parietal cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
22 Parkinson's papers of 28,9660.59
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0936

Sealed predictions

  1. PTH in dopamine neurons, braak+0.49 (p 0.181) → +0.12 (p 0.756)receipt 0943

Swarm cases

receipt 0943: PTH in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.31 (p 0.218, n 18), 95% CI -0.19 to +0.68. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.27 (p 0.281, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.22 (p 0.384, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.20 to +0.43, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.31 (p 0.218, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PTH in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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