Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

PROX2

prospero homeobox 2

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-18; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.18 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in cardiomyocytes0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2078

Sealed predictions

  1. PROX2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.27 (p 0.484) → +0.35 (p 0.362)receipt 2086
  2. PROX2 in microglia, braak-0.22 (p 0.576) → +0.47 (p 0.201)receipt 2085

Swarm cases

receipt 2086: PROX2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.02 (p 0.942, n 18), 95% CI -0.48 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.02 (p 0.942, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.14 to +0.11, sign flips 8; without severely affected donors -0.02 (p 0.942, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PROX2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 2085: PROX2 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.05 (p 0.847, n 18), 95% CI -0.43 to +0.50. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.06 (p 0.820, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.11 (p 0.652, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.07 to +0.21, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors +0.05 (p 0.847, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PROX2 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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