Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

PRL

prolactin

translation score 0.29, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (lactotrophs)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
10 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
76 Parkinson's papers of 18,8650.43
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3821

Sealed predictions

  1. PRL in dopamine neurons, braak-0.14 (p 0.714) → +0.46 (p 0.214)receipt 3829

Swarm cases

receipt 3829: PRL in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.01 (p 0.962, n 18), 95% CI -0.48 to +0.46. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.07 (p 0.774, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.06 (p 0.814, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.14 to +0.11, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors -0.01 (p 0.962, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PRL in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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