Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

PREX2

phosphatidylinositol-3,4,5-trisphosphate dependent Rac exchange factor 2

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-20; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.06 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in bergmann glia0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.27
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4541

Sealed predictions

  1. PREX2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.03 (p 0.946) → +0.37 (p 0.329)receipt 4548
  2. PREX2 in astrocytes, braak+0.24 (p 0.533) → -0.47 (p 0.204)receipt 4547

Swarm cases

receipt 4548: PREX2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.20 (p 0.418, n 18), 95% CI -0.29 to +0.61. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.16 (p 0.532, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.13 (p 0.597, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.12 to +0.38, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.20 (p 0.418, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PREX2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 4547: PREX2 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.11 (p 0.652, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.16 (p 0.538, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.22 to +0.02, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors -0.11 (p 0.652, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PREX2 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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