Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

PPP2R1A

protein phosphatase 2 scaffold subunit Aalpha

translation score 0.55, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.37 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
45 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0818

Sealed predictions

  1. PPP2R1A in dopamine neurons, braak+0.35 (p 0.362) → +0.40 (p 0.285)receipt 0826

Swarm cases

receipt 0826: PPP2R1A in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.24 (p 0.332, n 18), 95% CI -0.25 to +0.64. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.23 (p 0.351, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.19 (p 0.450, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.14 to +0.32, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.24 (p 0.332, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in astrocytes: -0.63 (p 0.0055, n 18) vs +0.24 in dopamine neurons. proposing astrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for PPP2R1A in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up PPP2R1A · astrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.45 p 0.110 (needs p < 0.0015)

Receipts

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