Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

POU3F4

POU class 3 homeobox 4

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-30; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain inhibitory neurons; strongest in bergmann glia0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 15180

Sealed predictions

  1. POU3F4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.44 (p 0.234) → -0.04 (p 0.925)receipt 15187

Swarm cases

receipt 15187: POU3F4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.04 (p 0.888, n 18), 95% CI -0.44 to +0.49. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.03 (p 0.901, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.03 (p 0.908, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.11 to +0.12, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors +0.04 (p 0.888, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for POU3F4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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