Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

POLA1

DNA polymerase alpha 1, catalytic subunit

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: fludarabine phosphate, clofarabine, gemcitabine +41.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
18 Parkinson's trials, 3 stopped0.87
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 2160.91
pathways
Reactome
10 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8926

Sealed predictions

  1. POLA1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.09 (p 0.825) → +0.44 (p 0.240)receipt 8933

Swarm cases

receipt 8933: POLA1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.19 (p 0.455, n 18), 95% CI -0.31 to +0.60. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.36 (p 0.145, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.34 (p 0.167, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.07 to +0.36, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.19 (p 0.455, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for POLA1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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