Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

OTC

ornithine transcarbamylase

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.06 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced outside the brain (hepatocytes)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
10 Parkinson's papers of 7,8090.69
pathways
Reactome
5 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4653

Sealed predictions

  1. OTC in dopamine neurons, braak+0.48 (p 0.188) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 4661

Swarm cases

receipt 4661: OTC in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.19 (p 0.455, n 18), 95% CI -0.31 to +0.60. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.29 (p 0.243, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.27 (p 0.281, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.07 to +0.32, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.19 (p 0.455, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for OTC in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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