Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NPM1

nucleophosmin 1

translation score 0.54, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: crizotinib, ceritinib1.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
7 Parkinson's papers of 3,3250.73
pathways
Reactome
10 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5437

Sealed predictions

  1. NPM1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.09 (p 0.820) → +0.40 (p 0.281)receipt 5445

Swarm cases

receipt 5445: NPM1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.09 (p 0.735, n 18), 95% CI -0.40 to +0.53. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.834, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.02 to +0.22, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors +0.09 (p 0.735, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NPM1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts