Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NOVA1

NOVA alternative splicing regulator 1

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-20; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in oligodendrocyte progenitor cells (2590 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 2140.91
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3767

Sealed predictions

  1. NOVA1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.19 (p 0.630) → +0.85 (p 0.003)receipt 3776
  2. NOVA1 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.37 (p 0.329) → +0.06 (p 0.874)receipt 3775

Swarm cases

receipt 3776: NOVA1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.27 (p 0.277, n 18), 95% CI -0.22 to +0.65. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.27 (p 0.277, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.37 (p 0.135, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.20 to +0.47, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.27 (p 0.277, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NOVA1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 3775: NOVA1 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.37 (p 0.130, n 18), 95% CI -0.12 to +0.71. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.34 (p 0.161, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.49 (p 0.041, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.29 to +0.49, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.37 (p 0.130, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NOVA1 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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