Six readers
| reader | found | score |
|---|---|---|
| genetics Open Targets | no genetic evidence; overall 0.12 from other evidence | 0.00 |
| cell type Human Protein Atlas | cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in monocytes | 0.75 |
| chemistry Open Targets | hard to drug | 0.00 |
| trials ClinicalTrials.gov | 7 Parkinson's trials, 2 stopped | 0.77 |
| literature PubMed | 666 Parkinson's papers of 28,738: well-trodden | 0.14 |
| pathways Reactome | 7 pathways; mostly immune signalling | 0.90 |
No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2330
Sealed predictions
- NLRP3 in microglia, braak-0.08 (p 0.840) → -0.07 (p 0.849)receipt 2336
- NLRP3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.42 (p 0.258) → -0.78 (p 0.013)receipt 2337
Swarm cases
receipt 2337: NLRP3 in dopamine neurons, braak
- power
- full sample -0.50 (p 0.033, n 18), 95% CI -0.79 to -0.05. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: -0.50 (p 0.033, n 18). holds up.
- composition
- dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.62 (p 0.0060, n 18). not the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.59 to -0.44, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.50 (p 0.033, n 18). robust.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NLRP3 in dopamine neurons.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
receipt 2336: NLRP3 in microglia, braak
- power
- full sample +0.07 (p 0.781, n 18), 95% CI -0.41 to +0.52. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: +0.08 (p 0.761, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.01 (p 0.969, n 18). could be the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.06 to +0.23, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.07 (p 0.781, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NLRP3 in microglia.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
Receipts
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