Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NFATC2

nuclear factor of activated T cells 2

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-23; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in schwann cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
7 Parkinson's papers of 6500.73
pathways
Reactome
5 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7106

Sealed predictions

  1. NFATC2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.24 (p 0.535) → -0.30 (p 0.428)receipt 7114
  2. NFATC2 in microglia, braak-0.42 (p 0.258) → +0.39 (p 0.304)receipt 7113

Swarm cases

receipt 7114: NFATC2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.23 (p 0.360, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.27. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.23 (p 0.360, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.34 (p 0.161, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.36 to -0.13, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.23 (p 0.360, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NFATC2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 7113: NFATC2 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.01 (p 0.956, n 18), 95% CI -0.46 to +0.48. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.03 (p 0.915, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: -0.03 (p 0.915, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.12 to +0.15, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors +0.01 (p 0.956, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NFATC2 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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