Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NEUROD1

neuronal differentiation 1

translation score 0.29, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.06 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched outside the brain (neuroendocrine cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
12 Parkinson's papers of 1,2910.66
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4738

Sealed predictions

  1. NEUROD1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.02 (p 0.965) → -0.31 (p 0.414)receipt 4745

Swarm cases

receipt 4745: NEUROD1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.14 (p 0.573, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.21 (p 0.393, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.23 to -0.01, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NEUROD1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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