Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NEFL

neurofilament light chain

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.15 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in other brain neurons (114 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
47 Parkinson's trials, 2 stopped0.97
literature
PubMed
13 Parkinson's papers of 4210.65
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly dopamine synapse1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2194

Sealed predictions

  1. NEFL in dopamine neurons, braak-0.21 (p 0.583) → +0.76 (p 0.018)receipt 2200

Swarm cases

receipt 2200: NEFL in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.23 (p 0.365, n 18), 95% CI -0.27 to +0.63. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.24 (p 0.341, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.24 (p 0.332, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.15 to +0.42, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.23 (p 0.365, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NEFL in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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