Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

NCS1

neuronal calcium sensor 1

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain excitatory neurons; strongest in smooth muscle cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
11 Parkinson's papers of 3610.67
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5910

Sealed predictions

  1. NCS1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.17 (p 0.656) → -0.80 (p 0.009)receipt 5918

Swarm cases

receipt 5918: NCS1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.57 (p 0.014, n 18), 95% CI -0.82 to -0.14. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.57 (p 0.014, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.67 (p 0.0022, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.66 to -0.52, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.57 (p 0.014, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for NCS1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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