Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MTR

5-methyltetrahydrofolate-homocysteine methyltransferase

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-23; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
26 Parkinson's trials, 2 stopped0.94
literature
PubMed
24 Parkinson's papers of 3,2100.58
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly energy0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7131

Sealed predictions

  1. MTR in dopamine neurons, braak+0.64 (p 0.063) → -0.28 (p 0.473)receipt 7138

Swarm cases

receipt 7138: MTR in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.10 (p 0.696, n 18), 95% CI -0.39 to +0.54. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.08 (p 0.741, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.05 (p 0.834, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.04 to +0.21, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors +0.10 (p 0.696, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MTR in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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