Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MTMR10

myotubularin related protein 10

translation score 0.54, read 2026-10-17; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.40 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in renal connecting tubule cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0639

Sealed predictions

  1. MTMR10 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.45 (p 0.219) → +0.86 (p 0.003)receipt 0646
  2. MTMR10 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.14 (p 0.725) → +0.49 (p 0.183)receipt 0647

Swarm cases

receipt 0647: MTMR10 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.20 (p 0.418, n 18), 95% CI -0.29 to +0.61. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.21 (p 0.393, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.21 (p 0.413, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.10 to +0.35, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.20 (p 0.418, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in oligodendrocytes: +0.60 (p 0.0083, n 18) vs +0.20 in dopamine neurons. proposing oligodendrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MTMR10 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: every proposal failed a challenge.

receipt 0646: MTMR10 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.60 (p 0.0083, n 18), 95% CI +0.19 to +0.83. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.55 (p 0.018, n 18). holds up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.42 (p 0.080, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.55 to +0.81, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.60 (p 0.0083, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MTMR10 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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