Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MBOAT4

membrane bound ghrelin O-acyltransferase MBOAT4

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched outside the brain (neuroendocrine cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8274

Sealed predictions

  1. MBOAT4 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.56 (p 0.120) → +0.16 (p 0.685)receipt 8282

Swarm cases

receipt 8282: MBOAT4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.20 (p 0.423, n 18), 95% CI -0.61 to +0.29. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.25 (p 0.319, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.45 (p 0.060, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.34 to -0.10, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.20 (p 0.423, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MBOAT4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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