Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MAPK1

mitogen-activated protein kinase 1

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: ulixertinib, ravoxertinib, asn007 +30.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
30 Parkinson's papers of 2,5750.55
pathways
Reactome
63 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2926

Sealed predictions

  1. MAPK1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.00 (p 1.000) → +0.05 (p 0.893)receipt 2932

Swarm cases

receipt 2932: MAPK1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.46. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.04 (p 0.861, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.12 to +0.13, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAPK1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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