Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MAP3K9

mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase kinase 9

translation score 0.44, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: cep-13470.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.73
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2834

Sealed predictions

  1. MAP3K9 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.01 (p 0.982) → +0.01 (p 0.982)receipt 2842

Swarm cases

receipt 2842: MAP3K9 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.06 (p 0.800, n 18), 95% CI -0.52 to +0.42. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.08 (p 0.741, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.15 (p 0.561, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.23 to +0.02, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors -0.06 (p 0.800, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAP3K9 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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