Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MAP3K12

mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase kinase 12

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.09 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: cep-13470.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.73
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 590.85
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2792

Sealed predictions

  1. MAP3K12 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.02 (p 0.962) → -0.26 (p 0.493)receipt 2798

Swarm cases

receipt 2798: MAP3K12 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.17 (p 0.504, n 18), 95% CI -0.59 to +0.32. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.16 (p 0.532, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.25 (p 0.315, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.29 to -0.06, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.17 (p 0.504, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAP3K12 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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