Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MAP3K11

mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase kinase 11

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.32 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: cep-13470.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.73
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly growth signalling0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 1134

Sealed predictions

  1. MAP3K11 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.32 (p 0.402) → -0.26 (p 0.498)receipt 1140

Swarm cases

receipt 1140: MAP3K11 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.36 (p 0.148, n 18), 95% CI -0.71 to +0.13. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.36 (p 0.148, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.38 (p 0.118, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.47 to -0.27, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.36 (p 0.148, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAP3K11 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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