Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MAP3K10

mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase kinase 10

translation score 0.44, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: cep-13470.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.73
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2719

Sealed predictions

  1. MAP3K10 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.50 (p 0.172) → -0.72 (p 0.030)receipt 2726

Swarm cases

receipt 2726: MAP3K10 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.59 (p 0.0099, n 18), 95% CI -0.83 to -0.17. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.62 (p 0.0060, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.62 (p 0.0062, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.68 to -0.54, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.59 (p 0.0099, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAP3K10 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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