Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

MAF

MAF bZIP transcription factor

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-20; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.06 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in kupffer cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
48 Parkinson's papers of 5,4230.49
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4688

Sealed predictions

  1. MAF in microglia, braak+0.57 (p 0.108) → -0.02 (p 0.964)receipt 4695
  2. MAF in dopamine neurons, braak-0.24 (p 0.536) → -0.22 (p 0.563)receipt 4696

Swarm cases

receipt 4696: MAF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.03 (p 0.894, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.44. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.834, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.05 (p 0.834, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.16 to +0.08, sign flips 8; without severely affected donors -0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 4695: MAF in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.22 (p 0.389, n 18), 95% CI -0.28 to +0.62. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.23 (p 0.365, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.36 (p 0.142, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.10 to +0.34, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.22 (p 0.389, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for MAF in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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