Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IPO13

importin 13

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-17; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.34 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in late spermatids0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0926

Sealed predictions

  1. IPO13 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.02 (p 0.964) → -0.03 (p 0.946)receipt 0934
  2. IPO13 in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.38 (p 0.311) → +0.42 (p 0.262)receipt 0933

Swarm cases

receipt 0934: IPO13 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.02 (p 0.928, n 18), 95% CI -0.48 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.02 (p 0.928, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.00 (p 0.990, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.15 to +0.10, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors -0.02 (p 0.928, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IPO13 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 0933: IPO13 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.03 (p 0.894, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.44. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.847, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.02 (p 0.942, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.16 to +0.08, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors -0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IPO13 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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