Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IL18R1

interleukin 18 receptor 1

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody: iboctadekin0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 3040.82
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5983

Sealed predictions

  1. IL18R1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.65 (p 0.057) → +0.46 (p 0.209)receipt 5992

Swarm cases

receipt 5992: IL18R1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.43 (p 0.077, n 18), 95% CI -0.05 to +0.75. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.39 (p 0.109, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.35 (p 0.159, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.35 to +0.57, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.43 (p 0.077, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IL18R1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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