Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IL10

interleukin 10

translation score 0.37, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.11 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced outside the brain (monocytes)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: sch-7089800.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
21 Parkinson's trials, 2 stopped0.92
literature
PubMed
324 Parkinson's papers of 88,2230.24
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2378

Sealed predictions

  1. IL10 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.66 (p 0.053) → -0.38 (p 0.311)receipt 2386

Swarm cases

receipt 2386: IL10 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.47 (p 0.047, n 18), 95% CI -0.77 to -0.01. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.41 (p 0.091, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.40 (p 0.101, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.61 to -0.41, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.47 (p 0.047, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IL10 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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