Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IKBKB

inhibitor of nuclear factor kappa B kinase subunit beta

translation score 0.56, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 1 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.25 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: imd-1041, imd-0354, as-602868 +30.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 3930.85
pathways
Reactome
29 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90
proposal for IKBKB, translation score 0.56

Knock down and overexpress IKBKB in a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture; measure IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR and dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge.

Cell type
a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps; existing compounds already reach the inhibition arm.
Molecular readout
IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR
Functional readout
dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge
Rule-out
If neither arm moves IL-1β by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of IKBKB in a tri-culture of iPSC dopamine neurons, astrocytes and microglia; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR; dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. IKBKB in dopamine neurons, braak-0.64 (p 0.065) → +0.02 (p 0.964)receipt 1681

Swarm cases

receipt 1681: IKBKB in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.47 (p 0.047, n 18), 95% CI -0.77 to -0.01. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.47 (p 0.047, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.50 (p 0.036, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.58 to -0.41, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.47 (p 0.047, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IKBKB in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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