Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

IFI16

interferon gamma inducible protein 16

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-23; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including microglia; strongest in neutrophils0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 6440.91
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6969

Sealed predictions

  1. IFI16 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.56 (p 0.114) → -0.12 (p 0.767)receipt 6977
  2. IFI16 in microglia, braak+0.14 (p 0.714) → -0.03 (p 0.947)receipt 6976

Swarm cases

receipt 6977: IFI16 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.03 (p 0.894, n 18), 95% CI -0.44 to +0.49. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.00 (p 0.990, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.06 (p 0.814, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.07 to +0.20, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors +0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IFI16 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 6976: IFI16 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.04 (p 0.867, n 18), 95% CI -0.43 to +0.50. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.07 (p 0.787, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.07 (p 0.774, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.05 to +0.20, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors +0.04 (p 0.867, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for IFI16 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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