Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

HSD17B4

hydroxysteroid 17-beta dehydrogenase 4

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly energy0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4944

Sealed predictions

  1. HSD17B4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.30 (p 0.436) → +0.55 (p 0.122)receipt 4952

Swarm cases

receipt 4952: HSD17B4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.33 (p 0.188, n 18), 95% CI -0.17 to +0.69. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.33 (p 0.188, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.39 (p 0.109, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.24 to +0.49, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.33 (p 0.188, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HSD17B4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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