Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

HPX

hemopexin

translation score 0.41, read 2026-10-27; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (hepatocytes)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12043

Sealed predictions

  1. HPX in dopamine neurons, braak+0.23 (p 0.560) → -0.65 (p 0.058)receipt 12050

Swarm cases

receipt 12050: HPX in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.26 (p 0.294, n 18), 95% CI -0.65 to +0.23. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.27 (p 0.277, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.43 (p 0.075, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.40 to -0.17, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.26 (p 0.294, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HPX in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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