Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

HMGCR

3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-CoA reductase

translation score 0.44, read 2026-10-16; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.52 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: pravastatin, rosuvastatin calcium, lovastatin +131.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
4 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
17 Parkinson's papers of 2,5500.62
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0200

Sealed predictions

  1. HMGCR in dopamine neurons, braak+0.05 (p 0.907) → +0.14 (p 0.716)receipt 0206

Swarm cases

receipt 0206: HMGCR in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.00 (p 0.997, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.02 (p 0.935, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.06 (p 0.807, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.13 to +0.07, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors +0.00 (p 0.997, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HMGCR in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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