Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

HLA-C

major histocompatibility complex, class I, C

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-23; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 3,6630.79
pathways
Reactome
9 pathways; mostly lysosome and autophagy1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7135

Sealed predictions

  1. HLA-C in dopamine neurons, braak+0.22 (p 0.565) → +0.06 (p 0.888)receipt 7142

Swarm cases

receipt 7142: HLA-C in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.28 (p 0.265, n 18), 95% CI -0.22 to +0.66. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.28 (p 0.261, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.39 (p 0.105, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.18 to +0.45, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.28 (p 0.265, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for HLA-C in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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