Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

GRM3

glutamate metabotropic receptor 3

translation score 0.61, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in bergmann glia0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: ly404039, pomaglumetad methionil anhydrous, decoglurant0.90
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 2070.82
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly dopamine synapse1.00
proposal for GRM3, translation score 0.61

Knock down and overexpress GRM3 in oligodendrocytes; measure evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake and α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress.

Cell type
oligodendrocytes
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
Molecular readout
evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake
Functional readout
α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress
Rule-out
If neither arm moves evoked dopamine release by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of GRM3 in iPSC-derived oligodendrocytes; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake; α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. GRM3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.48 (p 0.186) → +0.28 (p 0.464)receipt 5494
  2. GRM3 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.35 (p 0.355) → -0.04 (p 0.912)receipt 5493

Swarm cases

receipt 5494: GRM3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.36 (p 0.148, n 18), 95% CI -0.13 to +0.71. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.41 (p 0.089, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.47 (p 0.047, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.27 to +0.53, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.36 (p 0.148, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GRM3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5493: GRM3 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.25 (p 0.315, n 18), 95% CI -0.24 to +0.64. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.25 (p 0.315, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.23 (p 0.365, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.17 to +0.40, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.25 (p 0.315, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GRM3 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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