Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

GFRA1

GDNF family receptor alpha 1

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-20; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocyte progenitor cells; strongest in pituicytes/fscs0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody: liatermin0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
10 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 2940.79
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly growth signalling0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3995

Sealed predictions

  1. GFRA1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.21 (p 0.581) → -0.04 (p 0.928)receipt 4003
  2. GFRA1 in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.01 (p 0.982) → -0.09 (p 0.820)receipt 4002

Swarm cases

receipt 4003: GFRA1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.05 (p 0.854, n 18), 95% CI -0.43 to +0.50. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.08 (p 0.761, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.25 (p 0.315, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.05 to +0.18, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors +0.05 (p 0.854, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GFRA1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 4002: GFRA1 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.02 (p 0.949, n 18), 95% CI -0.48 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.834, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.14 (p 0.567, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.08 to +0.13, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors -0.02 (p 0.949, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GFRA1 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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