Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

GDF3

growth differentiation factor 3

translation score 0.35, read 2026-10-25; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched outside the brain (lymphatic endothelial cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 2680.91
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10049

Sealed predictions

  1. GDF3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.07 (p 0.859) → +0.08 (p 0.838)receipt 10056

Swarm cases

receipt 10056: GDF3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.02 (p 0.949, n 18), 95% CI -0.48 to +0.45. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.01 (p 0.983, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.14 to +0.10, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors -0.02 (p 0.949, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GDF3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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