Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

GAPDH

glyceraldehyde-3-phosphate dehydrogenase

translation score 0.31, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 1 stopped0.20
literature
PubMed
105 Parkinson's papers of 9,5980.39
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly energy0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4037

Sealed predictions

  1. GAPDH in dopamine neurons, braak+0.57 (p 0.108) → +0.26 (p 0.493)receipt 4043

Swarm cases

receipt 4043: GAPDH in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.47 (p 0.047, n 18), 95% CI +0.01 to +0.77. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.39 (p 0.107, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.48 (p 0.045, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.41 to +0.60, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.47 (p 0.047, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GAPDH in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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