Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

FOXA1

forkhead box A1

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
genetic association 0.10 (overall 0.08)0.10
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
enriched in the midbrain (8 nTPM), where the nigral dopamine neurons sit0.90
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
19 Parkinson's papers of 1,7170.61
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3313

Sealed predictions

  1. FOXA1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.21 (p 0.586) → -0.28 (p 0.464)receipt 3320

Swarm cases

receipt 3320: FOXA1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.26 (p 0.298, n 18), 95% CI -0.65 to +0.24. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.23 (p 0.351, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.30 (p 0.225, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.42 to -0.16, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.26 (p 0.298, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FOXA1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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