Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

FOSL1

FOS like 1, AP-1 transcription factor subunit

translation score 0.37, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.37 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 6130.85
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0723

Sealed predictions

  1. FOSL1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.14 (p 0.716) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 0729

Swarm cases

receipt 0729: FOSL1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.28 (p 0.258, n 18), 95% CI -0.66 to +0.21. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.28 (p 0.258, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.55 (p 0.018, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.42 to -0.19, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.28 (p 0.258, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FOSL1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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