Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

FOS

Fos proto-oncogene, AP-1 transcription factor subunit

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.06 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
294 Parkinson's papers of 37,1410.25
pathways
Reactome
12 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4437

Sealed predictions

  1. FOS in dopamine neurons, braak-0.72 (p 0.029) → -0.26 (p 0.493)receipt 4444

Swarm cases

receipt 4444: FOS in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.38 (p 0.120, n 18), 95% CI -0.72 to +0.11. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.42 (p 0.084, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.42 (p 0.082, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.51 to -0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.38 (p 0.120, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FOS in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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