Six readers
| reader | found | score |
|---|---|---|
| genetics Open Targets | no genetic evidence; overall 0.11 from other evidence | 0.00 |
| cell type Human Protein Atlas | cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in choroid plexus epithelial cells | 0.75 |
| chemistry Open Targets | a small-molecule pocket: muparfostat | 0.60 |
| trials ClinicalTrials.gov | 1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped | 1.00 |
| literature PubMed | 75 Parkinson's papers of 9,496 | 0.43 |
| pathways Reactome | 48 pathways; mostly immune signalling | 0.90 |
No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2512
Sealed predictions
- FGF2 in astrocytes, braak-0.18 (p 0.646) → -0.44 (p 0.234)receipt 2519
- FGF2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.11 (p 0.770) → -0.58 (p 0.102)receipt 2520
Swarm cases
receipt 2520: FGF2 in dopamine neurons, braak
- power
- full sample -0.32 (p 0.198, n 18), 95% CI -0.68 to +0.17. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: -0.32 (p 0.198, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.32 (p 0.198, n 18). could be the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.48 to -0.24, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.32 (p 0.198, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FGF2 in dopamine neurons.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
receipt 2519: FGF2 in astrocytes, braak
- power
- full sample -0.33 (p 0.188, n 18), 95% CI -0.69 to +0.17. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: -0.33 (p 0.185, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.26 (p 0.302, n 18). could be the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.39 to -0.24, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.33 (p 0.188, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FGF2 in astrocytes.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
Receipts
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