Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

F3

coagulation factor III, tissue factor

translation score 0.36, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket: tisotumab vedotin0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
12 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
66 Parkinson's papers of 16,2370.45
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5704

Sealed predictions

  1. F3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.26 (p 0.493) → -0.21 (p 0.586)receipt 5711

Swarm cases

receipt 5711: F3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.46. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.14 to +0.13, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors -0.01 (p 0.983, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in oligodendrocytes: -0.59 (p 0.0099, n 18) vs -0.01 in dopamine neurons. proposing oligodendrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for F3 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up F3 · oligodendrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.68 p 0.016 (needs p < 3.5e-4)

Receipts

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