Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

F2

coagulation factor II, thrombin

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (hepatocytes)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: argatroban, dabigatran, bivalirudin +111.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
6 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
140 Parkinson's papers of 41,8710.35
pathways
Reactome
17 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4859

Sealed predictions

  1. F2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.02 (p 0.964) → +0.09 (p 0.820)receipt 4867

Swarm cases

receipt 4867: F2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.16 (p 0.515, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.28 to -0.03, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for F2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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