Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ERN1

endoplasmic reticulum to nucleus signaling 1

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
6 Parkinson's papers of 3180.74
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3983

Sealed predictions

  1. ERN1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.05 (p 0.907) → -0.34 (p 0.375)receipt 3990

Swarm cases

receipt 3990: ERN1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.14 (p 0.579, n 18), 95% CI -0.57 to +0.35. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.14 (p 0.579, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.23 (p 0.369, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.28 to -0.05, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.14 (p 0.579, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in microglia: -0.59 (p 0.0099, n 18) vs -0.14 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ERN1 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up ERN1 · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.18 p 0.534 (needs p < 4.9e-4)

Receipts

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