Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ERG

ETS transcription factor ERG

translation score 0.33, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.29 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
6 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
51 Parkinson's papers of 13,8730.48
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 1344

Sealed predictions

  1. ERG in dopamine neurons, braak+0.05 (p 0.907) → +0.11 (p 0.785)receipt 1351

Swarm cases

receipt 1351: ERG in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.08 (p 0.741, n 18), 95% CI -0.40 to +0.53. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.11 (p 0.677, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.12 (p 0.633, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.01 to +0.21, sign flips 2; without severely affected donors +0.08 (p 0.741, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ERG in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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