Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

EGF

epidermal growth factor

translation score 0.42, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
14 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.94
literature
PubMed
91 Parkinson's papers of 38,1040.41
pathways
Reactome
37 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2523

Sealed predictions

  1. EGF in dopamine neurons, braak+0.13 (p 0.741) → +0.60 (p 0.090)receipt 2530

Swarm cases

receipt 2530: EGF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.34 (p 0.161, n 18), 95% CI -0.15 to +0.70. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.33 (p 0.188, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.40 (p 0.097, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.26 to +0.50, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.34 (p 0.161, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for EGF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts