Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

DTNA

dystrobrevin alpha

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in bergmann glia0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 940.85
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5280

Sealed predictions

  1. DTNA in dopamine neurons, braak+0.60 (p 0.090) → -0.29 (p 0.456)receipt 5289
  2. DTNA in astrocytes, braak-0.44 (p 0.234) → +0.44 (p 0.240)receipt 5288

Swarm cases

receipt 5289: DTNA in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.06 (p 0.820, n 18), 95% CI -0.51 to +0.42. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.847, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.07 (p 0.774, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.17 to +0.03, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors -0.06 (p 0.820, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for DTNA in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5288: DTNA in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.00 (p 0.997, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.08 (p 0.767, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.13 to +0.12, sign flips 8; without severely affected donors -0.00 (p 0.997, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for DTNA in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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