Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

DES

desmin

translation score 0.33, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
55 Parkinson's trials, 8 stopped0.87
literature
PubMed
75 Parkinson's papers of 38,5330.43
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5351

Sealed predictions

  1. DES in dopamine neurons, braak-0.69 (p 0.042) → +0.03 (p 0.946)receipt 5358

Swarm cases

receipt 5358: DES in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.27 (p 0.273, n 18), 95% CI -0.66 to +0.22. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.30 (p 0.228, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.34 (p 0.161, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.40 to -0.17, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.27 (p 0.273, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for DES in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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